Estonia vs Bulgaria prediction

UEFA Nations League, Mon 16 Nov, 18:00 (UTC+1:00)

Prediction: Estonia or draw, probability 77%, confidence 7.3/10

Probabilities

Estonia have 21 points from their last 20 matches: 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats. They score 0.7 goals per match and concede 1.45. Both teams score in 40% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 35%.

Bulgaria have 21 points from their last 20 matches: 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats. They score 1.1 goals per match and concede 2.05. Both teams score in 35% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 60%.

In the table, Estonia are 2nd on 9 points and Bulgaria are 3rd on 4. In their last 3 meetings, Estonia won 0, Bulgaria won 1 and 2 ended level.

SPeeD expects 1.3 goals from Estonia and 0.8 from Bulgaria. The most likely score is 1-0 (16%). SPeeD's prediction is “Estonia or draw”, with a probability of 77% and confidence 7.3 out of 10. In the final result, the most likely outcome is a Estonia win (48%).

Text generated automatically from the model's data.

Estonia, Bulgaria