Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol prediction

Primera División, Mon 16 Nov, 00:00 (UTC+1:00)

Prediction: Over 1.5 goals, probability 74%, confidence 7.2/10

Probabilities

Defensor Sporting have 18 points from their last 20 matches: 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 defeats. They score 1.05 goals per match and concede 1.55. Both teams score in 55% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Peñarol have 37 points from their last 20 matches: 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats. They score 1.6 goals per match and concede 0.75. Both teams score in 50% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 45%.

In the table, Defensor Sporting are 11th on 39 points and Peñarol are 1st on 69. In their last 20 meetings, Defensor Sporting won 4, Peñarol won 13 and 3 ended level.

SPeeD expects 0.99 goals from Defensor Sporting and 1.67 from Peñarol. The most likely score is 0-1 (12%). SPeeD's prediction is “Over 1.5 goals”, with a probability of 74% and confidence 7.2 out of 10. In the final result, the most likely outcome is a Peñarol win (53%).

Text generated automatically from the model's data.

Defensor Sporting, Peñarol