England vs Croatia prediction

UEFA Nations League, Thu 12 Nov, 20:45 (UTC+1:00)

Prediction: Under 11.5 corners, probability 68%, confidence 6.2/10

Probabilities

England have 50 points from their last 20 matches: 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. They score 2.75 goals per match and concede 0.75. They have won 3 in a row. Both teams score in 35% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 55%.

Croatia have 35 points from their last 20 matches: 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats. They score 1.95 goals per match and concede 1.45. They have lost 3 in a row. Both teams score in 50% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 65%.

In the table, England are 2nd on 9 points and Croatia are 3rd on 3. In their last 11 meetings, England won 7, Croatia won 2 and 2 ended level.

SPeeD expects 2.29 goals from England and 0.74 from Croatia. The most likely score is 2-0 (13%). SPeeD's prediction is “Under 11.5 corners”, with a probability of 68% and confidence 6.2 out of 10. In the final result, the most likely outcome is a England win (72%).

Text generated automatically from the model's data.

England, Croatia