Ajax Amsterdam vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

Eredivisie, Sat 31 Oct, 21:00 (UTC+1:00), Full time: 1-0

Prediction: Under 4.5 goals, probability 80%, confidence 8.3/10

Probabilities

Ajax Amsterdam have 46 points from their last 20 matches: 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats. They score 2.95 goals per match and concede 1.35. They have won 3 in a row. Both teams score in 85% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 85%.

AZ Alkmaar have 40 points from their last 20 matches: 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats. They score 2.15 goals per match and concede 1.1. Both teams score in 50% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 55%.

In the table, Ajax Amsterdam are 2nd on 21 points and AZ Alkmaar are 5th on 20. In their last 20 meetings, Ajax Amsterdam won 5, AZ Alkmaar won 11 and 4 ended level.

SPeeD expects 1.96 goals from Ajax Amsterdam and 1.14 from AZ Alkmaar. The most likely score is 1-1 (10%). SPeeD's prediction is “Under 4.5 goals”, with a probability of 80% and confidence 8.3 out of 10. In the final result, the most likely outcome is a Ajax Amsterdam win (56%).

Text generated automatically from the model's data.

Ajax Amsterdam, AZ Alkmaar