Millwall vs Derby County prediction

Championship, Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 (UTC+1:00), Full time: 4-1

Prediction: Under 3.5 goals, probability 74%, confidence 7.4/10

Probabilities

Millwall have 26 points from their last 20 matches: 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats. They score 1.25 goals per match and concede 1.3. Both teams score in 45% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Derby County have 14 points from their last 20 matches: 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 defeats. They score 1 goals per match and concede 1.65. Both teams score in 65% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 55%.

In the table, Millwall are 13th on 15 points and Derby County are 23rd on 7. In their last 20 meetings, Millwall won 9, Derby County won 5 and 6 ended level.

SPeeD expects 1.67 goals from Millwall and 0.93 from Derby County. The most likely score is 1-0 (12%). SPeeD's prediction is “Under 3.5 goals”, with a probability of 74% and confidence 7.4 out of 10. In the final result, the most likely outcome is a Millwall win (55%).

Text generated automatically from the model's data.

Millwall, Derby County