UTC vs Melgar prediction

Primera División, Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 (UTC+2:00), Full time: 1-2

Prediction: UTC or Melgar, probability 77%, confidence 7.7/10

Probabilities

UTC have 12 points from their last 20 matches: 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 defeats. They score 1.2 goals per match and concede 1.85. They have lost 6 in a row. Both teams score in 70% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 60%.

Melgar have 33 points from their last 20 matches: 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats. They score 1.7 goals per match and concede 1.05. Both teams score in 65% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 50%.

In the table, UTC are 18th on 2 points and Melgar are 5th on 22. In their last 20 meetings, UTC won 5, Melgar won 9 and 6 ended level.

SPeeD expects 1.08 goals from UTC and 1.78 from Melgar. The most likely score is 1-1 (11%). SPeeD's prediction is “UTC or Melgar”, with a probability of 77% and confidence 7.7 out of 10. In the final result, the most likely outcome is a Melgar win (54%).

Text generated automatically from the model's data.

UTC, Melgar