AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction

League Cup, Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 (UTC+1:00), Full time: 3-0

Prediction: AFC Bournemouth or draw, probability 71%, confidence 5.7/10

Probabilities

AFC Bournemouth have 36 points from their last 20 matches: 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats. They score 2.45 goals per match and concede 1.2. They have won 4 in a row. Both teams score in 65% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 70%.

Aston Villa have 32 points from their last 20 matches: 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats. They score 2.05 goals per match and concede 1.5. They have won 4 in a row. Both teams score in 70% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 85%.

In their last 13 meetings, AFC Bournemouth won 4, Aston Villa won 6 and 3 ended level.

SPeeD expects 1.64 goals from AFC Bournemouth and 1.24 from Aston Villa. The most likely score is 1-1 (11%). SPeeD's prediction is “AFC Bournemouth or draw”, with a probability of 71% and confidence 5.7 out of 10. In the final result, the most likely outcome is a AFC Bournemouth win (45%).

Text generated automatically from the model's data.

AFC Bournemouth, Aston Villa