Mozambique vs Ethiopia prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, Fri 13 Nov, 14:00 (UTC+1:00)

Prediction: Ethiopia +1.5 (Asian handicap), probability 76%, confidence 6.2/10

Probabilities

Mozambique have 27 points from their last 20 matches: 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats. They score 1.25 goals per match and concede 1.6. Both teams score in 50% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 60%.

Ethiopia have 18 points from their last 20 matches: 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats. They score 0.85 goals per match and concede 1.45. Both teams score in 30% of their matches and there are over 2.5 goals in 35%.

SPeeD expects 1.32 goals from Mozambique and 0.75 from Ethiopia. The most likely score is 1-0 (16%). SPeeD's prediction is “Ethiopia +1.5 (Asian handicap)”, with a probability of 76% and confidence 6.2 out of 10. In the final result, the most likely outcome is a Mozambique win (50%).

Text generated automatically from the model's data.

Mozambique, Ethiopia